Opinion polling for the Spanish general election, 1982

In the run up to the 1982 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 1 March 1979, to the day the next election was held, on 28 October 1982.

Party vote

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

Color key:

Multi-scenario poll Exit poll

Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling								Margin of error	Sample size	Lead
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling								Margin of error	Sample size	Lead

General Election	October 28, 1982	6.8	48.1	4.0	26.4	3.7	1.9	2.9			21.7

UCD	October 28, 1982	7.2	45.7	3.8	24.9	4.5	2.1	2.6			20.8
PSOE	October 28, 1982	6.6	48.0	4.3	26.0	4.0	2.0	3.1	±0.3 pp	85,300	22.0
ISIS	October 19, 1982	17	45		15					36,792	28
Sofemasa	October 19, 1982	6.5	48.6	5.9	24.0	2.5	1.7	4.0	±0.7 pp	18,255	24.6
Alef	October 14, 1982	9.5	49.2	7.8	18.2			5.9		7,000	31.0
Sofemasa	October 10, 1982	5.0	51.0	4.3	19.3			4.6		1,163	31.7
Alef	September 30, 1982	10.6	45.9	5.8	16.3			8.4	±3 pp	3,008	29.6
Sofemasa	September 30, 1982	4.8	51.5	5.2	14.8			2.3		2,460	36.7
Alef	September 19, 1982	10.7	51.3	6.0	13.0			5.2		3,000	38.3
El País	September 9, 1982	13.6	48.3	6.4	18.5						29.8
Sofemasa	August 30, 1982	8.5	50.8	5.6	11.8			2.4		2,460	39.0
AP	January 21, 1982	11	37	6	24						13
Tiempo	December 12, 1981	32.6	31.4	3.9	w.						1.2
Tiempo	December 12, 1981	21.0	33.1	9.1	11.4						12.1
Gallup	April 23, 1981	23.6	42.0	7.9	8.9	2.7					18.4
Gallup	February 23, 1981	25.9	36.3	9.1	9.1	2.7	2.2		±1.8 pp	1,892	10.4
Gallup	January 30, 1981	26.2	35.5	9.0	8.5						9.3
Gallup	December 21, 1980	27.4	34.4	8.6	8.7						7.0
Gallup	November 16, 1980	28.3	33.9	8.7	8.0	2.7	2.4		±2.3 pp	1,892	5.6
INE	November 13, 1980	30.8	39.9	8.9	8.3	2.2	2.0		±1.7 pp	3,457	9.1
Gallup	October 19, 1980	28.7	34.7	8.6	8.3						6.0
Gallup	September 15, 1980	27.7	33.5	9.4	6.8						5.8
Gallup	July 6, 1980	25.8	33.8	10.4	8.5				±2.3 pp	1,888	8.0
Gallup	June 16, 1980	26.3	32.7	10.0	8.4				±3.1 pp	1,002	6.4
Gallup	April 18, 1980	29.6	29.3	9.5	6.6						0.8
Gallup	March 21, 1980	30.2	29.8	9.8	5.9						0.4
Gallup	February 11, 1980	30.8	31.9	10.4	6.3						1.1
Gallup	January 14, 1980	32.0	31.2	11.1	6.0						0.8
Gallup	October 10, 1979	31.7	34.3	9.7	5.6						2.6
Gallup	July 13, 1979	34.0	30.8	10.5	5.3						3.2

General Election	March 1, 1979	34.8	30.4	10.8	5.9	2.7	1.7				4.4

Seat projections

Opinion polls showing seat projections are displayed in the table below. The highest seat figures in each polling survey have their background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.

Color key:

Multi-scenario poll

176 seats needed for a majority
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling

General Election	October 28, 1982	11	202	4	107	12	8	2

UCD	October 28, 1982	13	198	5	104	12	8	2
PSOE	October 28, 1982	13	202	4	103	13	9	2
UCD	October 22, 1982	20/25	200	17	80			10
Sofemasa	October 19, 1982	7/12	193/217	8/11	87/107	8/9	8/10	4/5
Alef	October 14, 1982	18	217	14	69	5	11	8
SEE	October 4, 1982	21	158	15	121	14	10	5
AP	September 27, 1982	15	141	11	125	14	7	5
UCD	September 22, 1982	40	200	9	60			2
Cover	September 4, 1982	w.	169	12	136			7
Cover	September 4, 1982	35	180	12	80			15
Tiempo	December 12, 1981	169	126	4	w.
Tiempo	December 12, 1981	105	144	25	38

1 Mar 1979	General Election	168	121	23	9	8	7

Voting preferences

Polls shown below show the recording of raw responses for each party as a percentage of total responses before disregarding those who opted to abstain and prior to the adjusting for the likely votes of those who were undecided to obtain an estimate of vote share. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling								Other	N	?
Polling firm/Link	Last date of polling								Other	N	?

General Election	October 28, 1982	5.3	37.7	3.2	20.7	2.9	1.5	2.3	6.4	20.0

Sofemasa	October 19, 1982	4.9	38.8	4.7	18.8	2.1	1.5	3.0	6.4	5.8	14.0
Sofemasa	October 15, 1982	4.3	36.6		17.5				41.6
Emopública	October 14, 1982	5.0	34.0	2.0	12.0			2.3	9.7	5.0	30.0
Alef	October 14, 1982	3.9	29.1	5.5	9.6			2.4	4.7	12.3	32.5
PSOE	October 14, 1982	5.5	34.6	2.5	12.4			2.3	6.3	6.3	30.1
Sofemasa	October 10, 1982	3.5	35.4	3.0	13.4			3.2	10.7	6.0	24.8
PSOE	October 6, 1982	5	33	2	11	2	1	2	44
CIS	October 5, 1982	4.8	24.5	2.6	9.2	1.6	1.0	1.3	3.3	5.7	46.0
CIS	October 1, 1982	4.6	30.7	2.8	11.7	0.8	1.3	2.5	1.7	9.6	34.3
Alef	September 30, 1982	4.2	27.4	4.1	9.5			3.0	6.6	14.4	30.8
Sofemasa	September 30, 1982	3.2	34.0	3.4	9.8			1.5	14.1	7.4	26.6
Alef	September 19, 1982	7.8	31.1	5.3	7.2			1.7	7.9	13.0	26.0
CIS	September 1, 198	6.7	27.9	2.2	11.6	1.3	1.0	2.8	3.8	9.8	32.9
Sofemasa	August 30, 1982	5.6	33.5	3.7	7.8			1.6	3.8	6.0	38.0
Alef	August 6, 1982	7.0	37.0	1.7	10.7				43.6
Metra Seis	August 6, 1982	6.7	39.2	1.7	11.2				7.9	33.3
CIS	July 12, 1982	12.0	29.1	3.5	9.8	1.0	1.0		3.6	11.6	28.4
CIS	June 1, 1982	9.8	30.5	2.5	9.4	1.3	0.6		3.2	11.9	30.8
CIS	April 1, 1982	12.8	27.7	3.2	7.3	0.7	1.0		4.9	14.3	28.1
CIS	March 27, 198	12.6	24.9	3.2	8.1	1.3	1.3		3.7	11.8	33.1
CIS	February 27, 1982	13.0	30.1	2.5	8.2	1.6	0.5		4.6	12.2	27.3
CIS	January 1, 1982	11.8	28.4	3.5	8.2	1.3	0.8		3.7	11.7	30.6
CIS	November 30, 1981	11	25	3	7	1	1		5	12	35
CIS	October 1, 1981	11.1	28.9	3.0	7.3	1.2	0.8		4.0	10.8	32.9
CIS	September 11, 1981	11.6	26.2	2.9	3.3	1.9	1.9		4.1	11.9	36.2
CIS	July 1, 1981	13.6	26.5	3.5	4.4	0.8	1.2		2.5	12.6	34.9
CIS	May 1, 1981	15.0	24.5	3.7	4.0	1.7	2.2		3.4	10.0	35.5
Gallup	April 23, 1981	18.7	39.2	4.0	7.5	2.4	1.0		4.9	4.6	17.7
CIS	April 1, 1981	14.9	24.0	3.5	3.9	1.0	1.3		3.4	12.8	35.2
CIS	March 1, 1981	14.8	22.9	3.3	4.8	1.3	1.0		3.4	11.4	37.1
CIS	February 1, 1981	13.5	27.2	3.2	5.6	1.3	1.8		3.3	9.5	34.6
CIS	January 1, 1981	13.3	19.6	4.4	4.8	0.6	0.9		3.5	15.1	37.8
CIS	December 1, 1980	13.2	22.2	3.5	4.9	1.4	1.1		4.4	12.3	37.0
CIS	November 1, 1980	13	21	5	5	1	1		5	12	37
CIS	October 1, 1980	15.7	16.8	3.3	4.9	1.3	1.5		4.5	12.7	39.3
CIS	September 1, 1980	16.5	22.9	4.7	5.5	1.9	1.2		4.6	10.6	32.1
CIS	July 1, 1980	13.4	20.2	4.8	4.0	1.2	1.2		5.5	8.5	41.2
CIS	June 1, 1980	15.1	25.3	3.2	5.0	2.0	0.9		4.8	11.8	31.9
CIS	April 1, 1980	16.4	18.8	3.8	4.5	1.9	2.2		5.7	12.4	34.3
CIS	March 1, 1980	18.3	19.7	4.3	3.5	2.1	1.5		5.8	11.1	33.7
CIS	February 1, 1980	22	31	8	4				11	6	18
CIS	December 1, 1979	27	26	7	4				9	5	22

General Election	March 1, 1979	23.4	20.4	7.2	4.0	1.8	1.1		10.1	32.0

This article is issued from Wikipedia - version of the 10/14/2016. The text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share Alike but additional terms may apply for the media files.