Opinion polling for the next Turkish general election

In the run up to the next Turkish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 1 November 2015, to the present day. The results tend to vary widely (see opinion polls in Turkey for further information). Opposition parties tend to regard such polls as unreliable and have presented legislation to Parliament tightening restrictions on how opinion polls conduct their research. After Turkish general election, June 2015, the polling company ORC issued a written statement apologising for the inaccuracies in their pre-election polls. KONDA, another polling company, made an apology for similar reasons after their predictions varied widely with the actual result after the 2014 presidential election.

Party vote

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2016

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP Others Lead
30 NovMetroPoll 49.5 26.5 11.5 10.7 1.8 23.0
15-19 NovMAK 5,400 50.8 24.6 14.5 7.5 2.6 26.2
9-17 NovAKAM 4,240 45.6 30.3 11.2 11.4 1.5 15.3
22 OctORC 53.1 25.0 14.2 6.2 1.5 28.1
24-26 SepA&G 3,018 54.6 24.8 12.0 7.9 0.7 29.8
2 AugORC 54.7 24.0 14.0 5.8 1.5 30.7
27 JulOptimar 1,273 53.8 21.5 11.7 10.7 2.3 32.3
15 Jul
Factions within the Turkish Armed Forces launch an unsuccessful military coup d'état attempt against the AKP government
5-12 JunORC 2,240 53.5 23.6 12.0 6.9 4.0 29.9
1 JunMetropoll 3,000 49.9 24.1 13.8 11.0 1.2 25.8
30 MayOptimar 1,508 51.4 24.3 11.6 10.1 2.7 27.1
23 MayORC 53.0 24.0 13.0 7.0 3.0 29.0
22-24 May
Binali Yıldırım becomes Prime Minister of Turkey following the resignation of Ahmet Davutoğlu
9 MayKamuAR 2,493 48.9 26.4 12.6 8.4 3.7 22.5
5-6 MayORC 1,265 52.8 24.0 12.8 7.1 3.3 28.8
27 AprSonar 48.8 25.6 10.8 9.7 5.1 23.2
10-14 AprAKAM 1,214 47.2 28.0 10.9 10.6 3.3 19.2
6 AprKamuAR 3,917 49.1 25.7 12.3 9.6 3.3 23.4
5 MarMetropoll 49.9 25.3 11.5 10.5 2.8 24.6
26-27 MarGezici 56.2 25.8 8.9 7.3 1.8 30.4
2-6 MarORC 4,176 54.0 21.7 11.6 7.8 4.9 32.3
26 FebKONDA 2,150 51.1 24.9 11.7 10.1 2.2 25.9
27 Jan–3 FebORC 8,320 55.8 20.9 11.3 9.8 2.2 34.9
6 JanGENAR 4,500 50.8 25.7 11.1 10.2 2.2 25.1
1-3 JanVaryans51.9 23.7 11.1 11.0 2.4 28.2
Date Pollster Sample Lead
AKP CHP MHP HDP Others

2015

Date Pollster Sample AKP CHP MHP HDP Others Lead
1-4 DecMAK 5,500 53.5 24.6 10.5 9.5 1.9 28.9
16-21 NovMAK 5,670 52.5 24.7 11.1 10.0 1.7 27.8
4-9 NovORC 3,230 54.0 24.6 10.5 9.1 1.8 29.4
2-3 NovIPSOS 1,614 53.0 25.0 9.0 11.0 2.0 28.0
1 NovGeneral election[a]46,555,26749.325.612.010.62.523.7
Date Pollster Sample Lead
AKP CHP MHP HDP Others

a Domestic vote only

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